Colin Mackay being funnyI’m confined to quarters with a bug, which annoyingly means I’m almost certainly missing tonight’s annual Herald-sponsored prize-giving. Someone else will have to put out any unduly flammable curtains and finish the minature whiskies for me.

So I’m going to play predictions instead.

The nominations are as follows:

BEST SCOT AT WESTMINSTER
Danny Alexander
Douglas Alexander
Angus Robertson

Three strong contenders, apart from Danny Alexander, who has to be the most out-of-his-depth senior politician Scotland has ever produced. For my money it’s Douglas Alexander: he has found a purple patch since losing Ministerial office and taken full advantage of the profile Shadow Foreign Secretary has offered of late.

DONALD DEWAR DEBATER OF THE YEAR
Alex Neil
Michael Russell
Nicola Sturgeon

Only Nats do debating? For me this is between Mike Russell and the Deputy First Minister – Alex Neil’s style is too student debater for my taste. Although Nicola goes from strength to strength (and would make a far more emollient FM than the current gaffer), Mike’s erudition and grasp of political history are hard to beat.

NEWCOMER OF THE YEAR
Ruth Davidson (Con)
Jenny Marra (Lab)
Graeme Pearson (Lab)
Willie Rennie (LibDem)
Humza Yousaf (SNP)

Alison Johnstone should clearly have been on this list, but then I’m biased. Ruth Davidson’s obviously the most prominent newcomer, and, contrary to the spin from SNP head office, her first few days have been steady and thoughtful, so I’m giving it to her by a nose ahead of future First Minister Humza Yousaf.

LOCAL GOVERNMENT POLITICIAN OF THE YEAR
Michael Cook (Ind Borders)
Michael Foxley (LibDem Highland)
David Stewart (SNP Moray)

Foxley here, I think, and not just to counter accusations of anti-Lib Dem bias. He’s claimed a national role and profile, admittedly in part by some pretty bonkers outbursts.

PUBLIC CAMPAIGN OF THE YEAR
Argyll Schools
Coastguard Stations
RAF Lossiemouth

A toughie. The Argyll schools campaigners got Mike Russell to save them, effectively, but that might possibly have been electioneering on his part. For me, professionally, the messaging from the coastguard campaigns was first class, so I’m going for them.

POLITICAL IMPACT OF THE YEAR
Patricia Ferguson (Lab)
Murdo Fraser (Con)
Tricia Marwick (Presiding Officer)

I rate Patricia, but I’m not seeing much political impact from her this year. Tricia’s style of chairing will certainly have a huge impact on Holyrood over this session, but, for impact outside Holyrood, it’s Murdo all the way. His radical proposal to abolish the Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party and reform some new independent right of centre party meant the Tories’ leadership election was actually discussed by civilians, unlike Labour’s. Outside Parliament. I heard them do it. The fact that he lost doesn’t change the need for change, and although I reckon the panel will probably pick the PO, he’s the right choice.

LIFETIME ACHIEVEMENT
They don’t announce nominees for this in advance, so that gives me a free hand. Lifetime achievement award for a Scottish politician the November after an election means someone who stood down or was defeated in May. Name me another politician who single-handedly saved his or her party, who led that party into the mainstream and elected office for the first time, and who stood down having left said party a fixture of the Scottish political scene. It’s a no-brainer. It’s Robin Harper all the way. And yes, in 1994 or so, before I was a party member, he turned round a debate at a demoralised party conference on the question of whether the party should dissolve, as well as fighting countless impossible elections for the Greens. An extraordinary boss, and the party’s only elder statesperson.

But I suppose Jack McConnell would be a strong second place.

SCOTTISH POLITICIAN OF THE YEAR
As above, there isn’t a shortlist here either. But there doesn’t need to be. After the most successful Scottish election campaign in living memory, there can be only one. The First Minister, the Great Chieftain o’ the Puddin’ Race, Alex Salmond.

Could someone record Colin Mackay’s intro for me, incidentally?