As first posted at BPPA’s SNP Conference blog.

While the coalition Government is losing Ministers at a rate of knots, the Scottish Government is a veritable oasis of calm by comparison.

Liam Fox lasted 18 months as Defence Secretary, Vince Cable’s responsibility for media affairs lasted 7 months and David Laws lasted only 17 days as Chief Secretary to the Treasury. Chris Huhne is clinging onto his job by his fingernails after alleged speeding offences and it looks likely that there will be a controlled wind-down of Ken Clarke’s Cabinet position after numerous gaffes and controversies.

Meanwhile, up in Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon has been Cabinet Secretary for Health, Wellbeing and Cities since May 2007, Kenny MacAskill has been Cabinet Secretary for Justice since May 2007, John Swinney has been Cabinet Secretary for Finance since May 2007, Richard Lochhead has been Cabinet Secretary for Rural Affairs and the Environment since May 2007, well, you get the point. In and around these high profile SNP high fliers, we have well established figures such as Mike Russell, Roseanna Cunningham, Shona Robison, Fiona Hyslop and Fergus Ewing who have held important posts, also since 2007.

Now, a cynic could say that the reason that the Scottish Cabinet is so consistent is because there are few individuals on the SNP benches who are ready to make the step up to replace them. When the rising stars of the governing party are Alex Neil (aged 60) and Mike Russell (aged 58), then one is inclined to agree.

So what?, one could reasonably ask. The SNP has a safe majority up to 2016 and the First Minister can put whichever bums on whatever Cabinet seats as he pleases. I would very much agree that devolved Scotland is safe in these eminently capable peoples’ hands for the foreseeable future but the problem for the SNP is that there is a referendum to be won around 2015.

An independent Scotland isn’t a novelty for a few years, it is a permanent change in how our nation is governed. The electorate will know that the current crop of Ministers will retire in the near future and will therefore consider who is in line to take over the reins of the Parliament of an Independent Scotland. We will still have the youthful Sturgeon, MacAskill and Robison for a good while yet of course, and there’s no reason why the SNP’s Aileen Campbell and Jamie Hepburn, to name but two of the Nat brat pack, shouldn’t fulfil their overflowing potential and shine as Ministers in due course.

That said, and this is where I stop naming names, the rest of the SNP crop can be far from impressive and are often derided as simply button-pushers in the Parliament, existing merely to serve Salmond’s every whim where stepping away from the party line is unacceptable. MSPs who are a bit too shouty on Newsnight, MSPs who get their billions mixed up with their millions, MSPs who harbour misplaced fears over gay marriage and MSPs who make jaw-droppingly erroneous allegations against the British Army and soldier deaths.

Is this Scotland’s fate for the decades to come? Where are the political leaders in their 20s, 30s and 40s that will save us from ourselves?

Not that the SNP has a lock on forming the first Government of an independent Scotland, but the talent on opposition benches, current and future, is similarly threadbare save for a few notable exceptions.

Alex Salmond’s ‘steady as she goes’ tactic has been necessary since 2007. The SNP were not going to be trusted by a sceptical public unless they could prove their competence in Government within a devolved Scotland before any referendum, and Salmond has probably known all along that he’d need two terms before a referendum could even be a realistic option.

To win a yes vote, the SNP has to defend many flanks from many opponents but will it be the soft underbelly of the next generation of SNP ‘talent’ that results in Scotland not having the confidence to go for it and ensures the Nationalist dream comes a cropper?