If my 2011 predictions are anything to go by then I should really be giving 2012 a miss. However, despite not living in my once-envisaged Iain Gray governed, AV wonderland, I shall limit myself to one prediction for 2012 and, over reaching further than an MSP discussing foreign affairs on Holyrood’s dime, for 2013.

First up, 2012. 

With so much of the coming year’s Holyrood business already well known and positively anaemic, not to mention the UK’s focus so distinctly unScottish, it is difficult to know where to look to find something to predict around. One could suggest that Rennie, Lamont and Davidson will continue to fail to lay a glove on Salmond this year, that the SNP Government will continue to fall short of its climate change commitments, that the Edinburgh trams will run into more difficulties and that the Scottish people will remain stubbornly around the 30% pro-independence mark, but you wouldn’t get very high odds on any of those anyway. 

What is marginally less likely, considerably more exciting and what would certainly drive a coach and horses through the modern history of Scottish Politics is the SNP taking control of Glasgow Council. And I predict that it will happen when May comes around.

Having Anas Sarwar and Johann Lamont in newly promoted positions will help Labour’s chances (and in that order of impact) but the SNP’s momentum, the well established Nicola Sturgeon and the irrepressible First Minister’s clout will see the Nats have the edge. Needless to say, if the contest is the SNP election machine vs Labour’s 2011 machine, then there will be only one winner.

In Glasgow particularly, the Health Minister Nicola Sturgeon may yet be the poster child for people paying more for their booze, in theory a damaging position to be in, but any such continued negativity from opposition parties will surely be more of a hindrance than a help after a 2011 that saw positivity being the name of the game. 

No, it is surely time for Glaswegians to see that Glasgow isn’t working and hasn’t been working for some time now. Health, drugs and life expectancy remain awful in comparison to the rest of Scorland (and beyond) and you can only blame those that have been in charge for that, as voters finally shall. Even a change for a few years will breathe healthy air into the corridors of power at City Chambers, ensuring a healthy competition between rival parties drive up results for all. 

And a traditionally Labour City that is governed by the SNP at council and national level hosting a successful Commonwealth Games mere months before an independence referendum could add up to a crucial extra 3% or 4% in favour of independence, based on population size and current polls. That is purposefully intended to be arguable but it’d certainly be a far cry from the days when Stephen Purcell was the hottest prospect in Scottish Politics. 

So onwards and upwards for Team SNP then? Well, yes, for a year or so anyway. My 2013 prediction revolves around the belief that the SNP are peaking too early and will be the victims of tall poppy syndrome and target practice before too long. Tony Blair may have put it off for longer than most but it is inevitable for all administrations and their leaders. And let’s face it, with record-breaking poll results, poppies don’t come much taller and targets don’t come much wider than the SNP and Salmond right now. 

It was, and remains, fun to be on the SNP bandwagon, to have a Cabinet of many talents that hold newer, fresher ideas than the opposition. But the public’s expectations from an incumbent Government only ever rise and that fickle public will soon enough tire of the Salmond chuckle and the SNP chutzpah. It will soon be more the done thing to sully the SNP than to support it, especially after the party runs out of new things to run, with the trophy of Glasgow Council safely on its mantelpiece.

Will that change in fortunes come before the all-important referendum? I believe so unless there is a snap plebiscite in the next 18 months. 

But that’s 2013 and this is 2012. Here’s to a great year and another round of elections, whoever the winners are.