Union on Saturday, Independent on Sunday

A quick post this morning from the mists of the Yorkshire Dales to note the poll on Scottish independence in the IoS that shows slender support in favour across the UK at 39% (up 6% from the equivalent poll in May) against a preference for the union at 38% (down 4%). The Scottish subsample, a positively brittle 176 respondents, has a more pronounced gap – 49% in favour of independence and 37% against.

Now, it’s only Scotland that will get to vote in any referendum and it’d be silly to give much (if any) credence to a poll with such a high margin of error but it is interesting that in a UK context the result goes in the Nats’ favour. I’m not aware of any poll having achieved that before.

That said, stripping out the Scotland subsample must actually result in rUK being AGAINST independence but I do wonder if an unbreakable spiral is beginning to take hold on this issue across Britain.

If people south of the border don’t know much of the detail of Scottish Politics but see the SNP winning a majority here and Alex Salmond arguing for Scottish independence there, it is little wonder that more and more non-Scots start to think ‘well blinkin’ well be independent then if you want it that way’. And if that notion is messaged up to Scotland in some way, through a poll in a national newspaper say, then it can only serve to harden the growing sense that a majority may well be voting Yes in a few years time, even if ordinarily they’d be loathe to breakaway. It’s easier to leave the party when you feel unwanted after all.

Whether this battle of sentiments based on misunderstandings proves to be a war of attrition or a blessing in disguise, we can only wait and see but perhaps polls with dodgy subsamples have a bigger part to play in all of this than some people give them credit for.

High Speed Rail

Dominic Hinde is a Scottish Green Party Activist and a doctoral research student at the University of Edinburgh investigating the social capital of environment from a Scandinavian perspective. He is also Convenor of the Edinburgh Young Greens and a freelance journalist writing about the Nordic countries.

As you may have noticed, the respective governments in Edinburgh and London are not the best of friends. What with the SNP pushing the paradox of a simultaneously low and high carbon economy as magic bullet for our problems and the Westminster government struggling to understand how the economy works in the first place, the time might seem wrong for a sound piece of mutual common sense investment. Yet the royal wedding which would unite the two warring kingdoms is right under their noses – high speed rail.

Nothing says unity like a railway line, just look at China which is building high speed rail lines faster than anyone ever has before. If you glance through European Union literature on the continent’s economic infrastructure high speed trains are everywhere. Everywhere except Britain that is.

There is a pressing need to expand Britain’s general rail network already. Successive governments have boasted about how more people now use rail than at any time since the Second World War, which sounds inspiring until you realise that Britain’s population then was less than half of what it is today. Rail fares are extortionate for anybody who does not have the prescience to book a journey six months in advance, and many people choose to fly on the core routes from Glasgow and Edinburgh to any one of London’s five major aiports (soon to be six with the expansion of Southend) because of both price constraints and the fact that cheaper planes don’t fly more slowly.

We’ve been here before of course: in the early eighties when Britain was on the cusp of deploying one of the world’s most advanced passenger trains, the creatively named Advanced Passenger Train (APT), into service between Glasgow and London. It had the potential to reduce journey times to a very respectable four hours but the carpet was pulled from under the feet of British Rail by the Thatcher government; politicians were put off by bad publicity and the up front cost in an era where public infrastructure was seen as an attack on the rights of the individual and the taxpayer.

If you want to see what high speed Britain may have looked like take a trip to Crewe. The original APT has for the past twenty years sat on a disconnected piece of track at a railway museum and is available for children’s parties at very reasonable prices.

If the SNP are serious about kick starting the Scottish economy and the Westminster government want to keep hold of Scotland then high speed rail would be a sound economic and environmental investment. Even countries with far lower population densities such as Sweden and Spain are investing heavily in high speed rail. Earlier this year the Swedes for example showed some impressive vision and a more expansive grasp of economics by building a high speed line to connect the populous middle of the country with the coastal cities in the Bothnian gulf which were in dire need of infrastructure improvements.

The last few years have also seen the birth of ‘very high speed rail’, which surprisingly enough is a recognised technical term. The world record for conventional trains is 357 miles per hour, set last year by a specially adapted French TGV train. At that speed London to Edinburgh would take less than two hours centre to centre. Even at the average commercial speed of around 186 miles per hour it would be possible to make a journey from Edinburgh to Brussels in under five hours.

Neither is this experimental technology. The handling of the UK’s plans for high speed rail has so far been carried out with an air of apprehension over this great leap into the unknown. Just as a reminder of how ridiculous this reluctance to try something new is, the first high speed railway in the world, Japan’s Tokaido Shinkansen line, was built in 1964. Even the US. which has an almost willfull aversion to rail travel, is pumping money into high speed infrastructure. At the same time all Britain looks set to get is a connection between London and the far flung shores of Birmingham.

If the government in London is serious about making the UK work then these kind of infrastructure projects are desperately needed. With the right backing they can be energy smart, carbon efficient and accessible to the majority of the population. They could also do wonders for Scotland’s ability to interact economically with the European mainland and perhaps even more so with the huge cities of Northern England.

In eight to ten years time I want to be sipping a cappucino as I speed past Sheffield at two hundred miles an hour on my way to Paris. If the current lack of ambition in rail planning continues however it’ll more likely be a lukewarm cup of Nescafe on the way to Prestwick.

Pete Wishart: The Labour leadership speech you won’t hear

Don’t panic CyberNats!  Pete Wishart MP has not defected – this is his imagining of the kind of speech he’d like to hear the Scottish Labour leadership contenders make:

“Ladies and gentlemen, comrades, members of the press. Today I announce my candidacy for the leadership of the Labour Party of Scotland. These are exciting and challenging times. After that crushing defeat in May, it is time to rebuild and renew, to slay sacred cows and chart a new way ahead.

Yes, we were beaten in May because of poor leadership and badly thought-out policies. But the real reason we were beaten so comprehensively is because of a more fundamental problem, and that is for the past ten years the Labour Party has been at least ten steps behind the ambitions of the Scottish people. We have tried to disparage that ambition, neuter it and hold it back. With me as your leader, we will never be put in that position again.

Instead I want to lead that ambition, to work with its flow, to realise its potential. I want to lead a new Scotland, secure in its own skin and dependent on no-one but ourselves.

This is why comrades, that one of the first things I will do, as your leader, will be to commission a new internal body to look at our historic opposition to Scottish independence. As your leader, I will ask that body to look at how we could become a new voice for independence in Scotland, and how we could have a new 21st century relationship throughout these isles based on equality and mutual respect.

It is time comrades, to put our opposition to independence aside, to look at the national interest, and to work for a new and better future for all the people of Scotland.

It was the Labour Party that delivered the Scottish Parliament. It is the Labour Party that has throughout the decades championed the values of social justice and equality. Comrades, are we seriously saying that we cannot build on these fine founding principles in an independent Scotland? An independent Scotland that could be moulded in the Labour tradition?

The alternative is to have a Tory Government in Westminster continue to govern in Scotland, unwanted by the Scottish people and alien to our values. Are we really saying that it is preferable to have a Tory Government running all these reserved responsibilities rather than have them returned to Scotland and put under the democratic control of the Scottish people in ours, in Scotland’s, Parliament?

The alternative is unthinkable. To be lumped in with the Tories, once again, saying no to Scotland. To invent reasons why the Scots aren’t creative enough to make a success of their independence. We’ve done that before and it does not work. I will not talk down my fellow Scots any longer.

Comrades, our illogical and pathological hatred of the SNP has blinded us to what is right for the people of Scotland. It is now time for that to come to an end, to be on the right side of history and to do the right thing.”

(,,,,and a pig was seen flying past the window…….)

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Slovakia is right to just say No

The average Slovakian pension is around 300 Euros a month while the average Greek pension is around 1200 Euros a month. It is little wonder therefore that Slovakia has voted No to a Greek bailout, bringing forward the real risk and probable inevitability of Greece defaulting on its loans.

As togetherly as I would like to be with Greece’s problems, I can’t help but wonder why we are throwing good money after bad at this issue. The solution to Greece and the Euro’s ills is not to pour more money into a broken system but rather to force Greece’s creditors, and the creditors of those creditors, to take a material haircut on what is owed to them and allow Greece to breathe again.

I forget the precise figure but the percentage of its outgoings that Greece spends on interest alone is eye-watering. A cut in liabilities would help significantly get Greece back to something of an equilibrium. That’s the deal that needs to happen, not putting money into Greece that will end up in banks’ largely well-capitalised pockets. That is a continuation of the short term gain outlook that banks are struggling to shake off, the something for nothing fast buck culture that Ed Miliband rightly railed against at Labour Conference.

Companies with big pockets backed the wrong horse with Greece and, like all gambling (for that’s what we’re dealing with here), they need to just take the hit.

It often takes the little guy to stand up to the big guys and in the EU they don’t come much littler than Slovakia. Good on them.

Hasta luego, y gracias por el pescado

Last night I decided to resign as a co-editor of this blog.

This is a decision I’ve been considering for a while, and it finally happened.  I’m too busy workwise to give this the level of attention that it demands, and I’ve lost the will to live trying to argue semantic distinctions in threads 90 comments long, debating whether or not a respective motion is worthy of the “Worst Motion of the Week” honour or whether I understand what independence means.  There were straws and camels, but I very much doubt you care.  I’ve just got too much to do outside this.

Anyway, I’m delighted that I was a part of this from its inception, and I’ll remain a co-founder of Scotland’s best blog, something which gives me great satisfaction.  I doubt that I’ll be missed, since I’ve done very little over the last month or so anyway, but thanks for engaging me in debate.  Thanks too, to the numerous guests who’ve written for us at my relentless urging – I hope you’ve found it a worthwhile experience, and that you’ll perhaps be inclined to do so again in the future.

Adiós,

Malc